Penn State 
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 98.1775
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
201 H Colgate Patriot (10- 7, 96.5) 14- 9
209 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 93.9) 15- 5
215 H Princeton Ivy (12- 3, 98.0) 10-11
222 H Navy Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.9) 13- 7
301 A Yale Ivy ( 5- 8, 94.8) 15- 9
308 A Cornell Ivy (14- 1, 99.9) 13-12
312 H Rob Morris NEC ( 9- 5, 91.8) 22- 8
323 H Ohio State B1G (14- 2, 97.8) 9-13
329 A Maryland B1G (11- 3, 99.0) 8-13
406 A Michigan B1G ( 7- 7, 95.7) 11- 8
412 H JHU B1G ( 6- 8, 95.7) 10- 4
418 H Rutgers B1G ( 7- 9, 95.0) 12- 4
426 H JHU B1G ( 6- 8, 95.7) 13-12
501 N Maryland B1G (11- 3, 99.0) 8-10
510 H Colgate Patriot (10- 7, 96.5)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 H Colgate 14- 9 5 3 + 2.47
209 A Villanova 15- 5 10 3 1.62
215 H Princeton 10-11 -1 1 - -2.06
222 H Navy 13- 7 6 5 0.00
301 A Yale 15- 9 6 3 + 2.46
308 A Cornell 13-12 1 -3 + 3.58
312 H Rob Morris 22- 8 14 7 0.00
323 H Ohio State 9-13 -4 1 -- -5.19
329 A Maryland 8-13 -5 -2 - -3.35
406 A Michigan 11- 8 3 2 1.42
412 H JHU 10- 4 6 3 1.66
418 H Rutgers 12- 4 8 4 0.93
426 H JHU 13-12 1 3 - -2.34
501 N Maryland 8-10 -2 -1 -1.20
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
323 H Ohio State 9-13 -4 1 -- -5.19
215 H Princeton 10-11 -1 1 - -2.06
329 A Maryland 8-13 -5 -2 - -3.35
426 H JHU 13-12 1 3 - -2.34
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 H Colgate 14- 9 5 3 + 2.47
301 A Yale 15- 9 6 3 + 2.46
308 A Cornell 13-12 1 -3 + 3.58
|
Penn State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Air Force |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
Albany |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Army |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) |
Penn State |
Bellarmine |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Penn State |
Binghamton |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Boston Univ |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Penn State |
Brown |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Bryant |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
Bucknell |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Penn State |
Canisius |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Cleveland St |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Colgate |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
Cornell |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
Dartmouth |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Delaware |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
Denver |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   4- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
Detroit |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Penn State |
Drexel |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
Duke |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Penn State |
Fairfield |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Georgetown |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Penn State |
Hampton |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Harvard |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
High Point |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Penn State |
Hobart |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Hofstra |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
Holy Cross |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Iona |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
Jacksonville |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
JHU |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
Lafayette |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Le Moyne |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Penn State |
Lehigh |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   5- 1 vs 3- 3 |
|
LIU |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Loyola |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Manhattan |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Marist |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Marquette |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Maryland |
Maryland |
Maryland |
 
| |
UMass |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Penn State |
Mass-Lowell |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Mercer |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Mercyhurst |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
Merrimack |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Michigan |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
Monmouth |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Mt St Marys |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Navy |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
NJIT |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
No Carolina |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Penn State |
Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Notre Dame |
Ohio State |
Ohio State |
Ohio State |
 
| |
Penn |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Princeton |
Princeton |
Princeton |
 
| |
Providence |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
Queens |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Quinnipiac |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Richmond |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Penn State |
Rob Morris |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
Rutgers |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
Sacred Heart |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Siena |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
St B'venture |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
St Johns |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
St Josephs |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Penn State |
Stony Brook |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Penn State |
Syracuse |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Penn State |
Towson |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
UMBC |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
Utah |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Penn State |
Vermont |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
Villanova |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
Virginia |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) |
Penn State |
VMI |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
Wagner |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Penn State |
Yale |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
PowerWise = 72

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Colgate (10- 7, 96.5) 14- 9 -3.40 15.42 -0.86 1.02 14.91
0 A Villanova ( 9- 6, 93.9) 15- 5 -5.96 12.85 0.86 1.02 14.04
0 H Princeton (12- 3, 98.0) 10-11 -1.92 16.89 -0.86 1.02 -2.84
0 H Navy ( 8- 7, 93.9) 13- 7 -5.99 12.83 -0.86 1.02 12.26
0 A Yale ( 5- 8, 94.8) 15- 9 -5.12 13.70 0.86 1.02 14.91
0 A Cornell (14- 1, 99.9) 13-12 -0.00 18.81 0.86 1.02 20.15
0 H Rob Morris ( 9- 5, 91.8) 22- 8 -8.10 10.72 -0.86 1.02 10.10
0 H Ohio State (14- 2, 97.8) 9-13 -2.05 16.76 -0.86 1.02 -2.98
0 A Maryland (11- 3, 99.0) 8-13 -0.93 17.89 0.86 1.02 -0.07
0 A Michigan ( 7- 7, 95.7) 11- 8 -4.17 14.65 0.86 1.02 15.88
0 H JHU ( 6- 8, 95.7) 10- 4 -4.20 14.61 -0.86 1.02 14.08
0 H Rutgers ( 7- 9, 95.0) 12- 4 -4.93 13.88 -0.86 1.02 13.33
0 H JHU ( 6- 8, 95.7) 13-12 -4.20 14.61 -0.86 1.02 14.08
0 N Maryland (11- 3, 99.0) 8-10 -0.93 17.89 -0.00 1.02 -0.95
------
136.89
|
winning pts = 143.7320 losing points = -6.8434
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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