UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:05 PDT

men Penn State 1
  
Penn State            
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 98.5997

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Colgate PATRIOT ( 6- 9, 93.4) 18-14 207 H Villanova BE ( 6- 8, 93.7) 13-14 214 A Princeton IVY (15- 2, 99.3) 13- 7 221 A Navy PATRIOT ( 7- 7, 94.2) 11-12 228 H Yale IVY ( 9- 6, 97.0) 17- 7 307 H Cornell IVY (11- 5, 98.1) 19- 7 314 N North Carolina ACC (13- 5, 98.3) 8-10 321 H Maryland B10 ( 7- 6, 97.4) 10- 6 328 A Ohio State B10 (10- 4, 96.2) 13- 6 404 A Johns Hopkins B10 (10- 6, 96.8) 10-11 411 H Michigan B10 ( 5- 9, 94.9) 8- 9 417 A Rutgers B10 ( 8- 7, 94.6) 16- 8 430 N Maryland B10 ( 7- 6, 97.4) 8- 6 502 N Johns Hopkins B10 (10- 6, 96.8) 16- 8 509 H Army PATRIOT (13- 4, 97.5) 10- 6 517 N Princeton IVY (15- 2, 99.3) 10-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 H Colgate                18-14       4     6          -1.00
   207 H Villanova              13-14      -1     6    ---   -6.00
   214 A Princeton              13- 7       6    -1    +++    6.43
   221 A Navy                   11-12      -1     4    --    -4.63
   228 H Yale                   17- 7      10     2    +      2.64
   307 H Cornell                19- 7      12     1    +      3.71
   314 N North Carolina          8-10      -2     0    -     -2.31
   321 H Maryland               10- 6       4     2    +      2.09
   328 A Ohio State             13- 6       7     2    +      3.39
   404 A Johns Hopkins          10-11      -1     1    -     -2.05
   411 H Michigan                8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.44
   417 A Rutgers                16- 8       8     3           1.75
   430 N Maryland                8- 6       2     1           0.83
   502 N Johns Hopkins          16- 8       8     2    +      3.21
   509 H Army                   10- 6       4     2    +      2.18
   517 N Princeton              10-14      -4    -1    -     -3.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Villanova              13-14      -1     6    ---   -6.00
   221 A Navy                   11-12      -1     4    --    -4.63
   411 H Michigan                8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.44
   314 N North Carolina          8-10      -2     0    -     -2.31
   404 A Johns Hopkins          10-11      -1     1    -     -2.05
   517 N Princeton              10-14      -4    -1    -     -3.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Princeton              13- 7       6    -1    +++    6.43
   228 H Yale                   17- 7      10     2    +      2.64
   307 H Cornell                19- 7      12     1    +      3.71
   321 H Maryland               10- 6       4     2    +      2.09
   328 A Ohio State             13- 6       7     2    +      3.39
   502 N Johns Hopkins          16- 8       8     2    +      3.21
   509 H Army                   10- 6       4     2    +      2.18

Penn State PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Penn State Penn State   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Albany Penn State Penn State   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Army Penn State Penn State  
Bellarmine Penn State Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Binghamton Penn State   Penn State
Boston Univ Penn State Penn State   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Brown Penn State Penn State   3- 2 vs 0- 4
Bryant Penn State   Penn State
Bucknell Penn State Penn State   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Canisius Penn State   Penn State
Cleveland State Penn State Penn State   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Colgate Penn State Penn State  
Cornell Penn State Penn State  
Dartmouth Penn State Penn State   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Delaware Penn State Penn State   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Denver Penn State Penn State   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Detroit Mercy Penn State Penn State   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Drexel Penn State tied -  0- 1 Penn State
Duke Duke tied -  1- 1 Duke
Fairfield Penn State Penn State   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Georgetown Penn State tied -  1- 1 Penn State
Hampton Penn State   Penn State
Harvard Penn State Penn State   4- 3 vs 2- 4
High Point Penn State Penn State   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hobart Penn State Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hofstra Penn State Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Holy Cross Penn State Penn State   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Iona Penn State tied -  0- 2 Penn State
Jacksonville Penn State Penn State   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Johns Hopkins Penn State tied -  4- 3 Penn State
Lafayette Penn State Penn State   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Le Moyne Penn State   Penn State
Lehigh Lehigh Lehigh   3- 3 vs 3- 4
LIU Penn State Penn State   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Loyola Penn State Penn State   4- 2 vs 2- 3
Manhattan Penn State   Penn State
Marist Penn State Penn State   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Marquette Penn State tied -  0- 2 Penn State
Maryland Penn State Penn State  
Massachusetts Penn State Penn State   1- 0 vs 0- 1
UMassLowell Penn State   Penn State
Mercer Penn State Penn State   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Mercyhurst Penn State   Penn State
Merrimack Penn State   Penn State
Michigan Michigan Michigan  
Monmouth Penn State   Penn State
Mt St Marys Penn State   Penn State
Navy Navy Navy  
NJIT Penn State   Penn State
North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina  
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame   5- 0 vs 3- 3
Ohio State Penn State Penn State  
Pennsylvania Penn State Penn State   3- 3 vs 2- 3
Princeton Princeton tied -  4- 1 Princeton
Providence Providence Providence   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Queens Penn State   Penn State
Quinnipiac Penn State   Penn State
Richmond Penn State tied -  1- 0 Penn State
Robert Morris Penn State Penn State   1- 1 vs 0- 1
Rutgers Penn State Penn State  
Sacred Heart Penn State   Penn State
Siena Penn State   Penn State
St Bonnies Penn State   Penn State
St Johns Penn State Penn State   1- 1 vs 0- 2
St Josephs St Josephs St Josephs   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Stony Brook Penn State Penn State   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse   4- 2 vs 5- 3
Towson Towson Towson   2- 1 vs 1- 3
UMBC Penn State   Penn State
Utah Penn State   Penn State
Vermont Penn State Penn State   1- 1 vs 0- 1
Villanova Villanova Villanova  
Virginia Penn State Penn State   3- 2 vs 1- 3
VMI Penn State tied -  0- 1 Penn State
Wagner Penn State   Penn State
Yale Penn State Penn State  

PairWisePlus = 64


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Colgate         ( 6- 9, 93.4)    18-14       -6.45      10.68      -0.74         0.92             9.11
   0 H Villanova       ( 6- 8, 93.7)    13-14       -6.16      10.98      -0.74         0.92            -6.33
   0 A Princeton       (15- 2, 99.3)    13- 7       -0.61      16.52       0.74         0.92            15.83
   0 A Navy            ( 7- 7, 94.2)    11-12       -5.68      11.45       0.74         0.92            -4.53
   0 H Yale            ( 9- 6, 97.0)    17- 7       -2.92      14.22      -0.74         0.92            12.36
   0 H Cornell         (11- 5, 98.1)    19- 7       -1.84      15.29      -0.74         0.92            13.34
   0 N North Carolina  (13- 5, 98.3)     8-10       -1.61      15.52      -0.00         0.92            -1.48
   0 H Maryland        ( 7- 6, 97.4)    10- 6       -2.47      14.66      -0.74         0.92            12.76
   0 A Ohio State      (10- 4, 96.2)    13- 6       -3.65      13.48       0.74         0.92            13.04
   0 A Johns Hopkins   (10- 6, 96.8)    10-11       -3.09      14.04       0.74         0.92            -2.15
   0 H Michigan        ( 5- 9, 94.9)     8- 9       -4.99      12.14      -0.74         0.92            -5.26
   0 A Rutgers         ( 8- 7, 94.6)    16- 8       -5.29      11.84       0.74         0.92            11.54
   0 N Maryland        ( 7- 6, 97.4)     8- 6       -2.47      14.66      -0.00         0.92            13.44
   0 N Johns Hopkins   (10- 6, 96.8)    16- 8       -3.09      14.04      -0.00         0.92            12.88
   0 H Army            (13- 4, 97.5)    10- 6       -2.38      14.75      -0.74         0.92            12.85
   0 N Princeton       (15- 2, 99.3)    10-14       -0.61      16.52      -0.00         0.92            -0.56
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       106.86

winning pts = 127.1629 losing points = -20.3045

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------